The Vertical Moat: Finding the Billion-Dollar Gaps the Giants Can’t Touch
I have a habit of seeing things that aren’t there—or rather, seeing the massive gaps that everyone else is stepping over.
Over the past decade, I’ve built five companies, secured over $2M in NIH grants, and been granted 20 patents. From systems engineering to raising capital, I thrive on the “hard stuff”—the complex, regulated, messy markets like healthcare, climate, and education that scare away most founders.
I don’t say this to brag, but to offer context on how I look at the world. When I started CareBand, I didn’t just see a wearable; I identified a fundamental gap in connectivity infrastructure. I saw the potential of LPWAN (Low Power Wide Area Networks) long before it was a buzzword, patented the technology, and used it to help people living with dementia.
I’m seeing that same signal again today. But this time, it’s not in hardware protocols—it’s in data models.
We are currently witnessing a massive, overlooked opportunity in what I call Vertical vs. Horizontal Asymmetry. And it is the single biggest opportunity for founders who are willing to go deep rather than wide.
The “Everything Store” Trap
We live in the era of the Horizontal Platform. Companies like Salesforce, ZoomInfo, and Hubspot have built empires by creating tools that work for “everyone.”
To scale horizontally, these platforms make a necessary trade-off: they must standardize. To serve a bank, a SaaS startup, and a manufacturing plant all at once, they flatten the world into generic objects. In their databases, the world looks like this:
CompanyContactDeal
For 80% of the economy, this works fine. But for the other 20%—the complex, regulated, hierarchical industries—this model is broken.
The Exception: The “Massive Distribution” Play
Now, I want to be clear: there is another way to win, but it is a game reserved for the giants.
Some entities play the long game of “Start Broad, Niche Later.” They build something that does everything for everyone, achieve massive distribution, and then rely on user behavior to tell them what they actually built.
The Apple Watch is the perfect example. When it launched in 2015, it was a confused product. Was it jewelry? A mini-iPhone? A notification center? Apple cast a wide net, essentially saying, “Here is a computer on your wrist—you figure out what it’s for.” It was expensive and messy. But because they had massive distribution and cash reserves, they could afford the trial and error. Eventually, the data screamed “Health,” and they pivoted hard. They niched down into healthcare after they already owned the wrist.
OpenAI is attempting the same feat right now with ChatGPT. They released a broad, general-purpose “brain” to the entire world. They achieved instant, massive distribution. Now, they are in the messy middle—trying to figure out if they should niche down into coding, enterprise search, or creative writing. Time will tell if they can successfully specialize, or if they will be eaten by vertical competitors who solve specific problems better.
But here is the reality for the rest of us: This strategy costs billions. It requires a long runway for “trial and error” that most startups simply don’t have. If you don’t have Apple’s bank account or OpenAI’s hype cycle, you cannot afford to start broad. You have to know your customer’s pain points and start deep.
The Asymmetry of Nuance
This is where the opportunity lies for the builder. There are massive verticals where the “generic” data model doesn’t just fail to add value; it actively obscures reality.
I’m currently building a side project called SignalScout, a signal intelligence platform for the US K-12 EdTech market. Why? Because when I looked at the leading B2B signal platforms, I realized they were fundamentally incapable of understanding the US education system without breaking their own architecture.
Here is the asymmetry:
- The Generic View: A B2B platform sees “New York BOCES” as just another
Accountwith 50 employees. - The Vertical Reality: In the US K-12 market, a BOCES (Board of Cooperative Educational Services) is a powerful regional node that controls purchasing for 20+ school districts.
If you treat a BOCES like a standard business account, you miss the leverage. You miss the fact that winning that one relationship unlocks access to 50,000 students across 15 districts.
This is exactly what Naval Ravikant describes as Specific Knowledge—knowledge that cannot be trained, outsourced, or easily automated. It is knowledge earned only through genuine curiosity and deep immersion in the problem.
ZoomInfo can hire a thousand engineers to scrape websites, but they cannot code for context they don’t possess. They can’t scrape the intuition that tells you a BOCES Director is 20x more valuable than a District Principal. That specific knowledge is the moat.
Generic platforms can’t simply “add a feature” to fix this. To properly map the US education market, you need a 6-level hierarchy (Federal → State → Regional → District → School → Department). If a horizontal platform tried to implement this, they would ruin their user experience for their banking and retail customers.
They cannot cross this moat without breaking their data models.
Finding the Signals in the Noise
This pattern repeats everywhere if you know where to look. It’s about finding the friction where “standard” tech meets “specialized” human behavior.
Take Healthcare, another space I’ve spent years in. If you try to build a sales intelligence tool for selling to doctors using the standard “LinkedIn Scraping” playbook, you will fail.
- The Horizontal Assumption: “Professionals are active on LinkedIn.”
- The Vertical Reality: Doctors are almost never on LinkedIn. They hang out on Doximity, in medical journals, and at conferences.
Generic platforms are blind to these signals because they are looking in the wrong places. They are optimizing for the tech-savvy SaaS buyer, not the Chief Medical Officer or the District Superintendent.
The Builder’s Advantage
This is why I love building now more than ever. Whether I’m running my own startups or acting as a strategic advisor for other founders, I look for these structural disconnects.
We often think “innovation” means inventing a new AI model or a new piece of hardware. Sometimes it does. But often, innovation is simply having the discipline to respect the complexity of a specific market.
With SignalScout, we aren’t trying to be the “ZoomInfo of everything.” We are choosing to be the undeniable expert in one thing: US K-12 Education. We are building the map that the giants can’t draw.
For the founders and builders out there: Unless you have the resources to be Apple, stop trying to beat the incumbents at their own game. Don’t build a better general-purpose CRM. Look for the pockets of the world that are too complex, too messy, and too hierarchical for the giants to touch.
Find the asymmetry. That’s where the value is.
